Oil Prices Gire Thode – OPEC+ Ke Output Plan Ne US-China Trade Deal Ki Positivity Ko Balance Kiya

Global oil prices Tuesday ko halki si girawat ke saath band hue, jab US-China trade deal ke positive signals ko OPEC+ ke possible production hike ne offset kar diya. Is beech investors naye Russia sanctions ke impact ka bhi analysis kar rahe hain.

OPEC+ Kar Raha Hai Production Badhaane Ki Tayari

Brent crude futures sirf 3 cents girkar $65.59 per barrel par aa gaya, jabki US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude 5 cents ke girawat ke saath $61.26 par trade hua, Reuters ke mutabiq.

Market experts kehte hain ki traders abhi multiple signals ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain — ek taraf renewed US-China trade optimism, aur doosri taraf rising oil supply ka concern.

ANZ Bank ne apni morning note mein likha, “Traders abhi US-China trade talks ke progress aur global supply outlook dono ko weigh kar rahe hain.”

Reuters ke sources ke mutabiq, OPEC+ (OPEC aur Russia jaise allies) December mein ek aur output increase plan kar sakta hai. Alliance ne pehle kuch saalon tak prices stabilize karne ke liye production cut kiya tha, lekin April se woh cuts reverse karna shuru kiya gaya hai.

Trade Talks Se Aayi Umeed, Par Market Abhi Cautious

US aur China ke beech possible trade agreement ki umeedon ne thoda optimism create kiya hai. Duniya ke do sabse bade oil consumers — President Donald Trump aur President Xi Jinping — Thursday ko South Korea mein milne wale hain.

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi ne US Secretary of State Marco Rubio ke saath baat karte hue kaha ki Beijing chahta hai Washington “halfway mile” taaki constructive dialogue possible ho sake.

In naye diplomatic moves se crude oil demand ke recovery ki umeed bani hai, kyunki pichle ek saal se trade tensions aur economic slowdown ne oil market ko pressure mein rakha tha.

Russia Par Naye Sanctions Ne Market Ko Aur Confuse Kiya

Market ke sentiment ko affect karne wala ek aur factor tha — US ke naye sanctions Russia par, jisme oil majors Lukoil aur Rosneft ko target kiya gaya. Ye Trump ke second term ke dauraan Russia ke energy sector par pehla bada action maana ja raha hai.

Sanctions ke baad, Lukoil, jo Russia ki second-largest oil producer hai, ne announce kiya ki woh apne international assets bechegi — jo ek major corporate shift hai.

IEA ke Executive Director Fatih Birol ne kaha ki “sanctions oil prices ko short-term mein push kar sakte hain, lekin market ki extra production capacity is impact ko absorb kar legi.”

Short-Term Profit, Long-Term Confusion

Pichle hafte Brent aur WTI futures ne June ke baad apna strongest weekly gain record kiya tha, geopolitical tension aur kam inventory ke wajah se.

Lekin Haitong Securities ke analysts kehte hain ki ye naye sanctions sirf short-term impact laayenge, aur long-term mein oversupply firse prices ko neeche kheench sakti hai.

Overall, OPEC ke output plans, US-China trade talks, aur Russia sanctions ka mix traders ke liye ek complex situation create kar raha hai — jahan har signal ka effect dusre ko balance kar raha hai.